Blog moved to www.maidenking.wordpress.com

Blog moved to www.maidenking.wordpress.com
See you there!

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Race 8 Hollywood -- MDN 40K -- 5Fs

Contenders--Morning Line

#1 Miss Reyna--20/1
#3 Ten Churros--2/1
#4 Ammarie--20/1
#5 Yoursmyunanours--12/1
#6 Paradisi--8/1
#7 Grace Gryder--10/1
#9 Sagebrush Angel--10/1
#11 Chatty LuLu--6/1
#14 Goodday--10/1

Of the ten horses entering the gate, seven are running for the first time. Several contenders are listed because in a race like this I use betting ranges to determine whether to wager or not on a particular first time starter. If the horse drifts past 20/1, I never bet. So at post time, only a handful of horses will be bettable.

Fillies first timers who are betting possibilities between the odds of 10/1 to 19/1 include #1 Miss Reyna, #4 Ammarie, #7 Grace Gryder, #9 Sagebrush Angel and #14 Goodday. At odds of 3/1 to 19/1, #5 Yoursmynanours is a bet and #6 Paradisi.

Of the horse who have run, second-time starter #3 Ten Churros showed speed in his last but the jockey merely jogged him in the stretch. Owned by workout analyst Bruno De Julio and trained by Jeff Mullins, this one could win at a short price, but I would not bet at less than 3/1.

For the site, since there are so many options here and decisions must be made at post time, I will bet $200 to win on #'s 5, 6, 7 and $100 to win on #'s 1, 4 and 9 provided they fall into the odds ranges.

No comments: