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Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Race 5 - Del Mar -- MSW -- 5.5fs

Contenders--Morning Line

#2 All Saint--20/1
#3 Donthaveatizzy--8/1
#5 High Way Sixty Six--8/1
#11 I Wanna Getaway--12/1
#12 Tactful--4/1

Four of the horses in this race ran together on July 2 and #5 High Way Sixty Six flashed the best speed on that day. Since nobody else distinguished themselves, I'll bet #5 at 5/1 or more.

The first-time starters in this race, of which there are five, don't jump off the page, but one of them might win. All Saint, #2, has some good workouts and is worth a small bet at 7/2 to 19/1, but he's 20/1 on the morning line. The Hector Palma-trained #3 Donthaveatizzy is OK at 10/1 to 19/1, but #10 Rockin Zola looks like his odds will be out of the 20/1 range. That brings me to #11 I Wanna Getaway, who looks like an excellent bet today. Tommy Town Thoroughbreds, the owners, are 5/33 or 15 percent with first time starters and a win bet on all would have netted $1.80 for every dollar bet. Today's rider Enriquez has won on four of them with prices paying 13/1, 16/1, 5/2 and 15/1.

Finally, Harris Farms-owned #12 Tactful will be running first time out for trainer Carla Gaines. He has Garrett Gomez, who I have at 7/30-23 percent-1.48 on first timers between 2/1 and less than 10/1. All 14 of Gaines first timers have been bet to less than 10/1, but only one of them won, however four finished second.

On the site, I will bet $150 on #5 High Way Sixty Six at 5/1 or more, $200 on #11 I Wanna Getaway at 10/1 or more, but only $50 on him if he drifts to 20/1 or greater. Also, I'll take $200 on #12 Tactful at 5/2 or better.

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