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Monday, August 4, 2008

Race 3 Del Mar -- MDN32k -- 6.5FS

Contenders--morning line

#1 Little Dude--3/1
#3 Dark Hawk--8/1
#4 Benny's Benchmark--6/1
#6 Son of Pegasus--5/2
#7 Mystification--6/1
#8 Athenry--7/2

Runners #6 Son of Pegasus and #4 Benny's Benchmark have last race Beyer Speed Figures that are 72 and 70 respectively, so they will jump off the page and people should bet them to underlays. But the 63 Beyer that #1 Little Dude ran on the grass last time should keep money off him and if he runs back to the 76 he ran at 6F on April 26 then he'll be tough to beat.

Also, #7 Mystification, who is making his second lifetime start, broke slowly but came on strong at 5 1/2 furlongs on July 11. He looks like an OK bet today.

Finally, first-time starter #3 Dark Hawk is trained by Peter Eurton who is two-for-three when he sends first starters into maiden claiming sprints for older horses. One winner was 10/1 and the other was a 9/1 shot.

I will bet $600 on #1 Little Dude if he's at least 2/1. Also, if #3 Dark Hawk is between 5/1 and 15/1 I will bet $150 on him and if #7 Mystification is 5/1 or more I want $200 to win.

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